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It’s becoming increasingly likely that the world will break a key temperature limit in the next five years, scientists warned Thursday. There’s now a 40 percent chance that by 2025, we will see a year with an average global temperature that is 1.5 degrees Celsius — 34.7 degrees Fahrenheit — above what it was in the late 1800s, according to a report from the World Meteorological Organization. That temperature increase is cited by the Paris Agreement as a benchmark to avoid in order to prevent catastrophic, long-term effects of climate change. The agreement ultimately aims to keep the increase below 2 degrees Celsius. “We’re seeing accelerating change in our climate,” Randall Cerveny, a climate scientist at Arizona State University, told NPR. “We had had some hopes that, with last year’s COVID scenario, perhaps the lack of travel [and] the lack of industry might act as a little bit of a brake. But what we’re seeing is, frankly, it has not,” he added. Joeri Rogelj, a climate scientist at Imperial College London, said the report indicates that not enough is being done to prevent global warming.

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