Positive opinions of O’Toole drop. A new survey by Abacus Data shows more troubling numbers for the Conservatives. First, while many people bring up legitimate questions about Abacus due to perceived Liberal connections, they were relatively accurate in the 2019 election. They were off by 1 point on Liberal support (34% predicted vs 33% result), and two points on Conservative support (32% predicted vs 34% result). So, not perfect, but not too far off. If they are anywhere close now, then the Conservatives have reason to be concerned, because the latest numbers aren’t good. Following the CPC convention and a rise in vaccine shipments (alongside the AstraZeneca debacle of government incompetence), the Liberals have nonetheless risen five points to 38% nationwide. The Conservatives are up 1 point, to 30%. The NDP has 17%. Regionally, the Liberals and Conservatives are tied at 31% in BC, while the Conservatives lead b 24 points in Alberta and 27 points in Saskatchewan/Manitoba. In Ontario, the Liberals lead by 16 points over the Conservatives, while in Quebec the Liberals lead the Bloc 37% to 30%, with the Conservatives far back at 17%.