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Rising tensions open a new migration route to Europe. In the first two weeks of July, more than 1,100 migrants and asylum seekers reportedly crossed irregularly from Belarus to its EU neighbour, Lithuania. That’s compared with just 81 in all of 2020. Most of them were Iraqis. But Lithuania says this isn’t a refugee flow or migrant crisis. Instead, Lithuanian Forgien Minister Gabrielius Landsbergis said migrants are being used as a “political weapon” by an increasingly isolated Belarus. Lithuania has called Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko illegitimate and is hosting Belarussian dissidents and opposition figures.

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