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Without a rapid and decisive course-correction, the Conservative Party of Canada is on pace for historically bad numbers, possibly giving Trudeau a path to a majority due to their total weakness. Sometimes, one or two polls can be dismissed if they go against the trend. After all, we know that polling is far less a ‘science’ than an ‘art,’ and individual polls can be wildly wrong. But when enough polls start to add up and show something similar, and when what they show is inline with what we see on the ground, it becomes tougher and tougher to dismiss them all. And what the polls are showing right now is the Conservative Party facing an absolutely disastrous election result. You’ll note something consistent in all these polls: The CPC is closer to the NDP than they are to the Liberals. This isn’t simply a shift of votes from the CPC to the Liberals, and Trudeau is not much more popular than he was two years ago. Rather, this is the CPC itself bleeding out support from their core voter base. Erin O’Toole has attempted to pull a bait-and-switch, shifting from ‘True Blue’ to now embracing the same ‘Liberal Lite’ stance he claimed Peter MacKay would have imposed.

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