Canada could cross the threshold of 20,000 to 60,000 daily cases by the end of December, the most recent federal modelling warns. As of Friday, the official death count stood at 11,856. So far, 2,756 people have died in the second wave, beginning August 18. Manitoba and Quebec have the highest per capita death rates, but deaths are increasing at a faster rate than cases in all regions, according to University of Toronto infectious disease researcher Dr. Tara Moriarty. And globally, Canada has the third highest case fatality rate (3.4) to date among medium-large, high-income peer countries, Moriarty says, “higher even than Spain, France, the USA and Germany.”