Months of school closures, social distancing needed to fight pandemic: U of T research

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Severe restrictions on public life must continue for months, not weeks, for Ontario to stifle the coming surge of COVID-19 patients and give the health-care system a shot at coping with the pandemic, University of Toronto-led research suggests. Outbreak modelling shows that four weeks of intensive social distancing interventions will be insufficient to suppress a sharp rise in new cases, hospitalizations, and critically ill patients in intensive care. The disruptive measures must continue for more than six months to slash the size of the epidemic peak by more than half and delay it long enough that a vaccine might become available, the model found.